It’s as good as over for Keir Starmer. However long he limps on, even if he somehow stumbles to the finish line of the next election, his race is run which is amazing for a Prime Minister with a 174 seat majority and four years left in office, but the Fat Lady is practising her scales and gargling with the Aquafresh.
The maneuvers to replace him have began, despite the denials from those obviously jockeying for position behind him and it is shame because he seems a decent guy, just a decent guy who had a chance to make real change after the previous lot and completely wasted it.
My best guess would be that he will limp around to the May 2026 Local Elections where Labour will get a Royal tonking and he will be thanked for his services and ushered away while the Labour Party members put a cross next to who they want to replace him and give the Country it's 7th Prime Minister in just over a decade.
Count them, David Cameron quit after disastrously taking us out of the EU by accident, Theresa May gambled on an election to improve her Parliamentary majority and found herself with a smaller one, Boris Johnson treated Downing Street like a nightclub while ordering everyone else to stay at home, Liz Truss bankrupt the nation in just 44 days and was outlived by a lettuce, Rishi Sunak was so weak within his party that he sought a dissolution of Parliament months before he had to and was duly toppled by Keir Starmer who could fall into a puddle and make the puddle even wetter.
The question should be then why are the crop of recent British Prime Ministers so terrible at their job?
Some will point to the UK never really recovering from the 2008 Financial crash and there is some truth in that and the things that followed, Brexit, Covid, the Ukraine War only made things worse but many of the events which saw the previous PM's removed were nothing to do with any of them things and were self inflicted mistakes so we can hardly blame them.
Others point to the constant scrutiny by 24 hour news and social media but you would assume that would make them less likely to do stupid things and probably accounts for Keir Starmer who seems much more attuned to the way the wind is blowing, and then doing the required contortions to try and bend as many ways as possible, attempting to try and please all the people all the time.
Maybe, we as a population, are now just ungovernable with the way we have split into not just left and right but those sides have split into smaller factions which leaves the historical big boys such as Labour and Conservatives, out on a limb with traditional Labour voters breaking away to the Lib Dems, Greens and Your Party and the Tories being cut in half by Reform.
I would guess that the days of one party rule in the UK is over and from now on it will be coalition parties making up the Government but that brings it own problems as deals are hashed out and agreements made but the most galling thing is every MP will tell you they entered politics to make things better, but when they got the chance to actually do it, all of the last 7, to quote one of them, spaffed it up the wall.
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