Monday 11 March 2019

In, Out, In, Out, Shake It All About

The problem with kicking the can down the road is that at some point you actually run out of road and so it's finally here, after years of not very much, can-kicking and delaying, this is the week that determines Britain's future in the EU.
With just 18 days until Brexit, Mrs May has promised this will be the week when the real decisions are made but by Friday things could look very different.
If tomorrow's vote on Theresa May's passes then Brexit will be rubber stamped and we will wake up former-EU members on 30 March.
As she lost the last by by a record amount and it is basically the same deal she is offering up again it is highly unlikely we will be going anywhere at the end of March so Wednesdays vote comes into play which is a vote to accept or reject a no-deal scenario which again, is expected to be heavily defeated.
Interesting there are talks of mass Conservative Party resignations if the Prime Minister tells her MPs they must vote to keep no-deal on the table.
If by Thursday MPs have rejected the deal in thr first vote and no deal in the second vote, the third vote comes into effect which is to delay Brexit, therefore extending Article 50 and continuing with negotiations.
The more extreme of the Conservatives are threatening to invoke a coup and replace Theresa May if we meander our way through to the third vote and Labour are threatening to bring out the no confidence vote again with a view to forcing a General Election.
So by Friday we could be on our way out of the EU, have a new Prime Minister or be set for a General Election or none of at all if Theresa May repeats what she did last time and pulls out of the votes to avoid defeat and save her own neck and we come back again in the next 18 days to do it all over again.
Exciting 'innit!

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