Last Chance For Labour

 
I will make a prediction and that is that this weeks Local Elections on Thursdays will see the incumbent Labour Party get a Royal Shellacking and it will spell the end of Keir Starmer who will be replaced by either Angela Raynor, Wes Streeting, Andy Burnham or Ed Miliband but each comes with baggage so it's going to be a scrap for either of them.
After arriving with a massive majority of 174, the Labour Party could literally get anything through the Commons but Starmer has been far too cautious and has squandered his opportunity and unless things change drastically, they could find themselves back out of power again after the next election but  not swapping places wituh the Conservatives as usually happens, because Britain seems to have become a multi party democracy.
In what is beginning to look like a fragmented multi-party system, five parties now poll at meaningful national levels, Labour, the Conservatives, Reform, the Lib Dems and the Greens and that is alongside the SNP in Scotland and Plaid Cymru in Wales.
Curiously what polls show is that combined support for left-leaning parties (Labour, the Lib Dems and the Greens) stand at between 43% and 47% since the last election while the right-leaning bloc (the Conservatives and Reform) has hovered between 44% and 49% so it isn't left and right leaning voters switching ideology, they are shifting within their ideology meaning that the overall balance of left and right doesn’t hugely change.
At the last election the Conservative vote left in droves to switch to Reform while the switch from Labour has gone to the Greens and Lib Dems which immediately puts them at a disadvantage as the 43%-47%  is split 3 ways while the right wing 44%-49% is split between two.
Unless Labour, The Greens or Lib Dems can coalesce the left under their own banner, Reform will probably sneak through by default because they do seem to have done a good job of attracting the former Conservative voters to their side and leaving Conservative Party flapping in the wind but  one thing the left do have great success with is tactical voting which may yet save us from the disaster that would be suffering under a Prime Minister Nigel Farage but that is for the next election, this Thursday is going to see Labour get a thumping and one final chance to get it right under another, more Labour Party, leader.