Monday 29 April 2024

Avoid This Post If It's Your Birthday Today

How many people do you share a birthday with? If there are roughly 8 billion people on the planet and there are 365 days in the year (forget leap years, my maths is shaky enough as it is without adding that into the sums) and i make it on average 219,178,082 share a birthday and if you one of them who are celebrating another trip around the Sun and are reading this today then many happy returns of the day and how you feeling?
I ask because i have just become aware of something called the birthday effect which is the chances are you’re going to die on your birthday.
The birthday effect is a recognised statistical phenomenon from research in Switzerland, Japan and the United States which discovered that your risk of dying is higher on, or near, your birthday, 13.8% of a greater risk actually.
The US study, using Social Security details, found that women were more likely to die in the week immediately after their birthdays than in any other week of the year while men were more likely to die in the week before.
The theories are that birthdays lead to celebrations, which can lead to increased alcohol consumption, which can lead to increased death by any number of means or that seriously ill people view birthdays as survival milestones and tend to succumb on the days or either side of it or more boringly, death certificates with the date of birth entered where the date of death should go by mistake.
Renaissance painter Raphael died on his 37th birthday, William Shakespeare on his 52nd and Ingrid Bergman on her 67th so if today is your Birthday, don't leave it to the evening to blow out the candles on your cake, you know, just in case.

9 comments:

Liber - Latin for "The Free One" said...

on birthday would be one thing, "or near" is another... subjective and changes the probabilities - but you claim to know squat about math so won't bother trying to explain... you reject most logic and data anyway

Falling on a bruise said...

I assume you would get it wrong anyway, you tend to not be half as bright as you are desperate to make yourself seem.

Liber - Latin for "The Free One" said...

ha ha ha, i have far too much success to doubt my abilities. so do the dozens of people that asked me to be their mentor... ha ha ha

most people spend their entire career in 1 or 2, maybe 3 areas of expertise. few people have proven themselves in as many specialties as me where i was in the role of lead or management:
- computer programming (FORTRAN, IBM Assembly, PL1, C, Python, R);
- large/complex systems architecture;
- large/complex systems networks;
- project management;
- process engineering;
- technology research;
- competitive intelligence;
- industry futurist;
- corporate strategy;
- innovation (57 patents)

Additionally, i earned multiple degrees:
- BBA computer science, Texas State Univ
- MBA strategy, St Mary's Univ
- MS data analytics (fyi, that is AI and machine learning), UT San Antonio

Then there are my numerous professional certifications
- Graduate Certificate national intelligence, UT San Antonio
- Machine Learning certificate, Stanford University
- Technology Innovation Certificate, MIT
- Networking Certificate, IBM
- Innovation Certification, UT Austin
- Lean Six Sigma black belt certification, Air Academy
- Design Certificate, Stanford
- Facilitation Certificate, Bostrum and Associates
- Futures Certificate, World Futures Society
- Competitive Intelligence Certificate, Academy of Competitive Intelligence
- Project Management Certificate, Project Management Institute

They don't just hand these out... ha ha ha

Not only am i aware of my abilities and limitations, i'm aware of the limitations and abilities of others... my employer for 41 years invested a lot in me, and i delivered for them, which is why they kept investing in me... they paid for everything except my BBA, including the travel, room, and boarding costs...

but good try

Liber - Latin for "The Free One" said...

most people think 1 patent is a big deal, try 57 with another 49 being processed... bah ha ha ha ha

Falling on a bruise said...

'not be half as bright as you are desperate to make yourself seem' - case in point. Funny how you feel the need to continually try and prove how bright you are to me, wonder why that is?

Liber - Latin for "The Free One" said...

well, you keep telling me how stupid, uneducated, and ill informed i am...

Falling on a bruise said...

Nope, i say you don't read things properly so don't get a full understanding of matters hence why you get so much wrong and misunderstand world events and have on many times made comments which had misrepresented the post or missed where i have included caveats to my views or on occasion just said i have said things which i haven't. I have never said you were stupid or uneducated, that's your interpretation of it for whatever reason but ill-informed i will go with but that's because of, in my opinion, your eagerness to have an opinion which differs to mine. Read twice and write once is a much used, and for good reason a vital, phrase.

Liber - Latin for "The Free One" said...

uh, that is a carpentry phrase. measure twice, cut once.

and you often tell me how ignorant i am... the message behind the message and all that...

Anonymous said...

Nicked it from carpenters to apply to Journalists writing up press releases and other peoples words then.