Sunday, 3 May 2015

The Marginal Seats

As mentioned in the previous post, the election will come down to the 200 marginal seats changing hands and in some of the constituencies, the majority is down to double digits and a handful of voters changing sides.
Of the 200 seats, 83 are currently held by Labour, 77 by Conservatives, 26 by Liberal Democrats and the remaining 14 a collection lumped under 'Others'.  
As the magical figure to claim victory is 325, if you live in one of the following 200 then you truly could be the kingmaker.



Seat
Majority
Party
Fermanagh & South Tyrone [249]
4
SF
Hampstead & Kilburn [290]
42
Lab
Warwickshire North [602]
54
Con
Camborne & Redruth [118]
66
Con
Thurrock [571]
92
Con
Bolton West [78]
92
Lab
Oldham East & Saddleworth [439]
103
Lab
Hendon [304]
106
Con
Sheffield Central [504]
165
Lab
Solihull [516]
175
LD
Oxford West & Abingdon [444]
176
Con
Southampton Itchen [523]
192
Lab
Ashfield [19]
192
Lab
Cardiff North [127]
194
Con
Sherwood [508]
214
Con
Dorset Mid & Poole North [197]
269
LD
Norwich South [431]
310
LD
Edinburgh South [230]
316
Lab
Stockton South [536]
332
Con
Lancaster & Fleetwood [350]
333
Con
Bradford East [85]
365
LD
Broxtowe [107]
389
Con
Truro & Falmouth [579]
435
Con
Swansea West [559]
504
Lab
Newton Abbot [420]
523
Con
Wirral South [624]
531
Lab
Amber Valley [11]
536
Con
Chesterfield [144]
549
Lab
Derby North [181]
613
Lab
Hull North [324]
641
Lab
Dudley North [204]
649
Lab
Wolverhampton South West [632]
691
Con
Great Grimsby [276]
714
Lab
Waveney [605]
769
Con
Wells [609]
800
LD
Carlisle [130]
853
Con
Morecambe & Lunesdale [404]
866
Con
Rochdale [474]
889
Lab
Telford [565]
978
Lab
Walsall North [593]
990
Lab
Weaver Vale [607]
991
Con
Harrogate & Knaresborough [293]
1039
Con
Lincoln [368]
1058
Con
Morley & Outwood [405]
1101
Lab
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport [453]
1149
Con
Antrim South [15]
1183
DUP
Montgomeryshire [402]
1184
Con
Brighton Pavilion [98]
1252
GRN
Birmingham Edgbaston [57]
1274
Lab
Stroud [546]
1299
Con
St Austell & Newquay [491]
1312
LD
Brighton Kemptown [97]
1328
Con
Brent Central [90]
1345
LD
Bedford [41]
1353
Con
Watford [604]
1425
Con
Arfon [16]
1455
PC
Halifax [283]
1472
Lab
Dewsbury [193]
1526
Con
Belfast East [45]
1533
APNI
Newcastle-under-Lyme [413]
1552
Lab
Warrington South [600]
1553
Con
Plymouth Moor View [452]
1588
Lab
Sutton & Cheam [556]
1608
LD
Wakefield [591]
1613
Lab
Newport East [417]
1650
Lab
Pudsey [461]
1659
Con
Eltham [236]
1663
Lab
Middlesbrough South & Cleveland East 
1677
Lab
Enfield North
1692
Con
St Ives [494]
1719
LD
Edinburgh North & Leith [229]
1724
Lab
Walsall South [594]
1755
Lab
Nottingham South [434]
1772
Lab
Somerton & Frome [519]
1817
LD
Burnley [109]
1818
LD
Dundee East [211]
1821
SNP
Blackpool South [70]
1852
Lab
Gedling [260]
1859
Lab
Hove [321]
1868
Con
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) [407]
1885
SNP
Manchester Withington [389]
1894
LD
Corby [161]
1895
Con
Northampton North [427]
1936
Con
Brentford & Isleworth [92]
1958
Con
Hastings & Rye [298]
1993
Con
Halesowen & Rowley Regis [282]
2023
Con
Nuneaton [435]
2069
Con
Ipswich [332]
2079
Con
Westminster North [615]
2126
Lab
Blackpool North & Cleveleys [69]
2150
Con
Dunbartonshire East [209]
2184
LD
Belfast North [46]
2224
DUP
Bury North [111]
2243
Con
Bridgend [94]
2263
Lab
Delyn [179]
2272
Lab
St Albans [490]
2305
Con
Luton South [381]
2329
Lab
Southampton Test [524]
2413
Lab
Gloucester [270]
2420
Con
Wirral West [625]
2436
Con
Derbyshire North East [185]
2445
Lab
Kingswood [344]
2445
Con
Ynys Mon [647]
2461
Lab
Chippenham [147]
2470
LD
Hereford & Herefordshire South [306]
2481
Con
Wolverhampton North East [630]
2484
Lab
Erewash [241]
2501
Con
Vale of Clwyd [588]
2509
Lab
Tooting [574]
2524
Lab
Scunthorpe [498]
2549
Lab
Chester, City of [143]
2583
Con
Chorley [149]
2593
Lab
Dagenham & Rainham [175]
2630
Lab
Wyre Forest [644]
2643
Con
Gower [273]
2683
Lab
Berwick-upon-Tweed [50]
2690
LD
Weston-Super-Mare [617]
2691
Con
Exeter [244]
2721
Lab
Stalybridge & Hyde [531]
2744
Lab
Birmingham Northfield [62]
2782
Lab
Pontypridd [454]
2785
Lab
Clwyd South [154]
2834
Lab
Croydon Central [170]
2879
Con
Alyn & Deeside [10]
2919
Lab
Keighley [338]
2940
Con
Devon West & Torridge [192]
2957
Con
Cornwall North [162]
2981
LD
Worcester [633]
2982
Con
Birmingham Yardley [65]
3002
LD
Winchester [622]
3048
Con
Penistone & Stocksbridge [448]
3049
Lab
Durham, City of [214]
3067
Lab
Hyndburn [327]
3090
Lab
Harrow West [295]
3143
Lab
Cannock Chase [124]
3195
Con
Cornwall South East [163]
3220
Con
Streatham [544]
3259
Lab
Cheadle [138]
3272
LD
Bristol North West [100]
3274
Con
Birmingham Erdington [58]
3277
Lab
Angus [12]
3282
SNP
Bury South [112]
3292
Lab
Upper Bann [586]
3361
DUP
Darlington [176]
3388
Lab
Aberconwy [2]
3398
Con
Harrow East [294]
3403
Con
Newcastle upon Tyne North [416]
3414
Lab
Carmarthen West & Pembrokeshire South
3423
Con
Argyll & Bute [17]
3431
LD
Eastbourne [225]
3435
LD
Carmarthen East & Dinefwr [131]
3481
PC
Birmingham Selly Oak [64]
3482
Lab
Aberdeen South [4]
3506
Lab
Warwick & Leamington [601]
3513
Con
Newport West [418]
3544
Lab
Swindon South [561]
3544
Con
Hammersmith [286]
3549
Lab
Islington South & Finsbury [335]
3569
Lab
Stevenage [532]
3578
Con
Pendle [447]
3585
Con
Don Valley [194]
3595
Lab
Wrexham [641]
3658
Lab
Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine [5]
3684
LD
York Outer [649]
3688
Con
Ealing Central & Acton [218]
3716
Con
Bristol East [99]
3722
Lab
Loughborough [377]
3744
Con
Brecon & Radnorshire [89]
3747
LD
Birmingham Hall Green [59]
3799
Lab
Edinburgh West [232]
3803
LD
Copeland [160]
3833
Lab
Coventry South [167]
3845
Lab
Dudley South [205]
3856
Con
Sefton Central [500]
3862
Lab
Eastleigh [226]
3864
LD
Glasgow North [264]
3898
Lab
Norwich North [430]
3901
Con
Dorset West [200]
3923
Con
Taunton Deane [564]
3993
LD
Leicester West [358]
4017
Lab
Banff & Buchan [27]
4027
SNP
Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney [393]
4056
Lab
Torbay [575]
4078
LD
Bolton North East [76]
4084
Lab
Richmond Park [473]
4091
Con
Stoke-on-Trent South [539]
4130
Lab
Romsey & Southampton North [478]
4156
Con
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale 
4194
Con
Great Yarmouth [277]
4276
Con
Cleethorpes [153]
4298
Con
Vale of Glamorgan [589]
4307
Con
Ellesmere Port & Neston [234]
4331
Lab
Worsley & Eccles South [637]
4337
Lab
Lancashire West [349]
4343
Lab
Perth & North Perthshire [450]
4379
SNP
Batley & Spen [37]
4406
Lab
Newcastle upon Tyne East [415]
4453
Lab
Huddersfield [322]
4472
Lab

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