A couple of oil tankers get attacked in the Gulf of Oman and America immediately blamed Iran, as they would, and Iran vehemently denies they were behind it, as they would.
The US secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, said that the US believes it was 'unmistakable' that Iran was responsible for the attacks and that 'President Trump has done everything he can to avoid war' conveniently overlooking pulling out of the treaty Iran was complying with, sending warships to sit off the Iranian coast and threatening to 'end' the country.
Predictably, the UK foreign secretary, Jeremy Hunt, agrees that he was 'almost certain that Iran was behind the oil tanker attacks' as he did not believe anyone else could have done it although the United Nations and Germany was not so quick to apportion blame, calling for an independent investigation.
Iran said the US was making allegations without 'a shred of factual or circumstantial evidence' and accused the Trump administration of 'sabotage diplomacy' although the US did release a video purporting to show an Iranian vessel removing an unexploded mine from the side of one of the tankers although the fly in that ointment is that the Japanese crew contradicted the 'evidence' by claiming that their ship was damaged by 'two flying objects'.
Following the recent Iraq debacle and either fabricating evidence or just being plain wrong, nations are rightly cautious of following American evidence and have no desire to enact the sequel to Bush/Blair and the current President is famous for falsehoods and has very little credibility.
Pompeo said that Iran had been responsible for previous attacks on tankers last month, but the official investigation into those incidents did not determine who had been responsible and with Iran being no less believable and as notoriously untrustworthy with their words as the current American administration, we are in danger of disappearing back down that rabbit hole once again.