Beginning Of The End For Boris

Nobody is really expecting to see Boris Johnson lose the confidence vote in Parliament today, sitting Prime Ministers just don't lose these things but we are expecting a big wedge of his own MP's to say that they don't support Boris and that is where the danger comes from for him because although he will remain as party leader and Prime Minister and be immune from another challenge for a year, he will know that many of his MP's are against him.
Theresa May survived a confidence vote in 2018 with two-thirds of Conservative MP's supporting her but the other third so tied up her Premiership that she had to step down just five months later which shows that an arithmetic win is not the same as a political one.
When the result is announced around 9pm, we will all know how many of his own party want the prime minister out but as well as Johnson waiting nervously, so will most of his cabinet who know they will not be included in any new cabinet, tainted by their association with the law breaking Prime Minister .
The best case scenario for me would be for Johnson to just about drag his carcass over the winning line and stay in office up until the next election where, as plenty of Conservatives are saying, they would lose.
If the Tories had any decency about them they would remove him, his blatant lies, partying and awful policies should be enough but the thought of them losing the next election, and their own jobs, may spook enough to look elsewhere in their party.