Tuesday, 28 June 2016

Preparing For An Increasing Population

The UN’s department of economic and social affairs have said that Global population hit 7.3 billion midway through 2015, an increase of 2 billion since 1990 and will continue to climb steadily to reach 8.5 billion in 2030.
As we are already using the resources of one and a half Earth's it is a problem which we have no idea how to solve.
The problem isn't too many births as many think but not enough deaths due to people living longer, DESA explained that the number of births has leveled off globally for the world as a whole so we are not adding people to the population through births.
In 2015 global life expectancy rose to 71.4 years, a five-year increase since 2000, and that is obviously a good thing but the challenge is that we still have to reduce the amount of humans on the Planet and that can still only come from reducing births in the first place. 
Further access to contraception is the obvious answer and globally there are still 225 million women who are unable to access a modern form of contraception. Better education and child health clinics are also important to reduce pregnancies but most importantly we have to prepare ourselves for being able to accommodate 8.5 billion people by 2030.
This isn't simple as due to desertification, extreme weather and flooding as a result of climate change we are being squeezed into an ever decreasing amount of land but the solution isn't waving our arms around and saying there are just too many of us, we need to prepare the infrastructure to be ready for the 8.5 billion of us sharing the planet.

16 comments:

Keep Life Simple said...

Oh my god, you sound like my brilliant but nutty father n law. You also sound like Malthus - circa 1870.

You can put all the people in the world in the USA (do the math) and the rest of the planet would be void of humans.

In the 90's they said we would be out oil by 2010. Have you looked at oil reserves lately? There is plenty of fresh water, and ridiculous amounts of salt water that can be desalinated. There is also ample food - starvation happens because of economic and transportation conditions.

Falling on a bruise said...

How would putting all the people in the USA (or anywhere else) solve using the resources of one and a half Earth's and how would it reduce the amount of births?

Keep Life Simple said...

It was supposed to illustrate how little resource we use. Which resources do you mean? Because assuming we will use the same resources the next 30 years that we have used historically, and that technology will not get more use out of existing resources is quite foolish.

Falling on a bruise said...

Things that cant be replaced in a year so trees, fish, land and amount of pollution and carbon pumped into the atmosphere. How will technology makes trees grow quicker?

Keep Life Simple said...

The USA has more forest than when the nation was founded. The low point was during the civil war as both armies burned forest as military tactics at the same time that people used wood for fuel and homes.

And yes, tech can make trees grow faster. But the left doesn't like that branch of science GMO.

Fish can be grown. Land, as I noted above is minimally used

Pollution and carbon affects you noted are not a shortage issue.

Keep Life Simple said...

Also, technology can create materials that replace the need to use trees for furniture, housing, fuel, etc

Falling on a bruise said...

We would have to move sharpish though because once the Trump gets in he wont let the Muslims come over!

Keep Life Simple said...

None of your last comment makes sense, especially in context of the original post opinion...

Falling on a bruise said...

Its a combination of your comment that the world can fit in the USA and Donald trumps comment about banning Muslims. Do keep up!!

Keep Life Simple said...

Yeah, it is like listening to my wife talking to her sisters, difficult for a man to follow..

So, let's change the location to China, or Canada, Australia, or Brazil, or India as each of them are the same size as the USA mainland. By the way, Russia is 5 times bigger than the USA. Regardless, the rest of the land would be unoccupied by humans. In other words THE WORLD HAS ROOM FOR A LOT MORE HUMANS. Of course, the seas are 3 times bigger than land.

Falling on a bruise said...

It isn't about being able to for them in, its about the amount of resources we use and if the 7.3 billion of us are using 1 1/2 planets resources, we need to do something because soon there will be 8.5 billion of us.

Keep Life Simple said...

Do yourself a favor. Read about Malthus.

Falling on a bruise said...

Malthus is about controlling the population, I'm saying the opposite where we need to prepare for an expanding population.

Keep Life Simple said...

Oh my god. He wanted to control it because l, like you, he thought the planet was going to be overwhelmed by people - though he thought one billion would be the end all. We know he was wrong by almost a factor of ten!!!

Falling on a bruise said...

So the population isn't going to be 8.5 billion by 2030? We are not going to have to prepare for them all? We are not already using up more of the earths resources then we have?

Keep Life Simple said...

Your scientists can set up models based on the past, but they cannot accurately predict the future. That is the flaw. Using the past to predict the future does not account for the unseen, unknown and the unknowable.

Further, most of the left-wingers use worst case assumptions about growth, productivity, etc

So, yes, using clumsy models and worst case assumptions 8.5 billion is predicted and we will once again run out of resources (which has been predicted many times for oil, land, trees, food, etc).